Accounting for skill in trend, variability, and autocorrelation facilitates better multi-model projections: application to the AMOC and temperature time series
Projections accounting for model trend and variability skill
Roman Olson1,2,3, Soon-Il An1,*, Yanan Fan4 and Jason P. Evans5
1Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea
2Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, South Korea
3Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea
4School of Mathematics and Statistics, UNSW Australia, Sydney, NSW, Australia
5Climate Change Research Centre and ARC Centre for Excellence in Climate Extremes, UNSW Australia, Sydney, NSW, Australia
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